VERBAL ANALYSIS OF LARGE-SCALE TRANSPORT PROJECTS: INSTRUMENTAL SUPPORT FOR EVALUATION AND SELECTION PROCEDURES

Verbal analysis in this article is understood as an integral part of system analysis. It seems reasonable to use it when making complex decisions poorly structured problem situations. Typical case the situation that arises we decide on construction a large-scale railway project strategic importance for state long term. Such projects often make errors assessing social effectiveness their costs and results, are generally higher than estimated, but results lower. For reason, at stage investment, stopped, some cases many years. conflicts arise both Russia abroad. The proposes systematic approach evaluation phase preinvestment feasibility studies, where influence uncertainty factor risks caused by maximum. assessment structure logical-heuristic model, whose information base based expert technologies organizational procedures form investment decision-making. software products patented have been developed tested support relevant procedures. Primarily, novelty consists, ways transformation verbal assessments experts into numerical ones and, secondly, rules accounting radical (non-stochastic) while comparing alternatives.